Consensus · Big Board

2026 Consensus Big Board

7 boards · 7 sources · sources through Jun 23, 2026

Based on 7 boards from 7 sources · sources through Jun 23, 2026

# Δ Trend Player School Pos Ht Wt Age Avg Range Src
1 ▲1
Duke
F 6'9" 250 lb 19.3 1.7
#1
#3
7
2 ▼1
BYU
F 6'9" 210 lb 19.7 2.2
#1
#4
6
3 –
Kansas
G 6'5" 205 lb 19.8 2.3
#1
#3
7
4 –
UNC
F 6'10" 215 lb 20.3 4.0
#3
#5
7
5 –
Illinois
G 6'6" 185 lb 19.7 6.9
#5
#12
7
6 –
Louisville
G 6'5" 190 lb 20.6 8.3
#4
#17
7
7 –
Houston
G 6'4" 190 lb 19.8 9.0
#6
#15
7
8 ▲1
Michigan
C 7'3" 240 lb 21.6 9.3
#5
#13
7
9 ▼1
Arizona
G 6'4" 205 lb 21.1 9.3
#7
#16
7
10 ▲1
Michigan
F 6'9" 230 lb — 11.1
#7
#17
7
11 ▼1
Arkansas
G 6'3" 190 lb 19.9 11.3
#6
#26
7
12 –
Michigan
F 6'9" 255 lb 20.8 12.9
#11
#19
7
13 ▲2
Stanford
— — — 19.5 15.3
#6
#23
7
14 –
Iowa
PG 6'4" 190 lb 23.1 16.4
#8
#25
7
15 ▲1
Baylor
G 6'5" 175 lb 21.9 17.0
#14
#26
7
16 ▼3
Alabama
G 6'4" 177 lb — 17.1
#6
#37
7
17 ▲1
Kentucky
F 6'9" 225 lb 19.3 17.4
#9
#27
7
18 ▼1
Washington
F 6'11" 220 lb 20.5 17.6
#13
#23
7
19 –
Texas
F 6'7" 200 lb 21.3 18.7
#15
#24
7
20 ▲2
Texas Tech
G 6'2" 165 lb 20.6 21.3
#12
#28
7
21 ▼1
Santa Clara University
F 6'9" 225 lb 20.8 21.3
#9
#27
7
22 ▼1
Tennessee
F 6'10" 207 lb 19.9 22.4
#10
#38
7
23 –
—
F 6'8" — — 24.0
#16
#39
7
24 –
UConn
F 6'10" 260 lb 23.2 26.3
#21
#32
6
25 –
St. John's
F 6'9" 240 lb 22.5 27.0
#19
#34
7
26 ▲3
Iowa State
F 6'8" 220 lb 22.9 28.6
#21
#35
7
27 ▼1
Arkansas
G 6'5" 185 lb 20.2 28.9
#19
#44
7
28 –
Arizona
F 6'8" 235 lb 19.8 29.0
#18
#40
7
29 ▼2
Houston
C 6'11" 240 lb 19.7 29.0
#24
#36
6
30 –
UNC
F 7'0" 200 lb 22.6 29.0
#23
#34
6
31 –
Duke
G 6'6" 175 lb 20.9 32.9
#26
#43
7
32 ▲1
Valencia Basket
G 6'5" — 20.9 33.4
#17
#48
7
33 ▼1
BYU
G 6'5" 200 lb 25.1 33.7
#17
#54
7
34 –
Ohio State
G 6'2" 215 lb 23.1 34.3
#16
#49
7
35 –
UConn
F 6'8" 210 lb — 34.7
#29
#39
7
36 –
Arkansas
B 6'9" — 23.8 34.8
#25
#45
6
37 ▲1
Louisville
G 6'4" 195 lb 22.4 36.0
#23
#42
7
38 ▼1
Cincinnati
F 6'11" 225 lb 22.7 36.0
#19
#41
7
39 –
Virginia
— — — 22.1 36.2
#24
#48
4
40 ▲4
South Florida
— — — 23.1 44.0
#35
#54
6
41 –
St. John's
W 6'8" — — 44.4
#36
#51
7
42 ▲4
Vanderbilt
— — — 23.1 44.8
#24
#55
5
43 ▼1
Arizona
G 6'3" 185 lb 23.1 45.1
#28
#56
7
44 ▼4
Kentucky
SG 6'4" 213 lb — 46.2
#33
#60
6
45 –
—
— — — — 46.7
#34
#68
7
46 ▲1
Houston
G 6'3" — 22.6 47.3
#40
#60
3
47 ▼4
Vanderbilt
— — — 24.7 47.3
#42
#51
3
48 –
Purdue
G 6'0" 180 lb 23.3 47.7
#38
#58
6
49 –
Oregon
B 6'11" — 23.4 48.8
#36
#55
5
50 ▲3
McNeese State
— — — — 50.3
#42
#63
7
51 –
Tennessee
G 6'1" — 22.6 50.7
#27
#73
7
52 –
Tennessee State University
G 6'6" 175 lb — 51.2
#36
#70
6
53 ▼3
Duke
B 6'9" — 22.9 52.9
#44
#62
7
54 –
—
— — — — 53.3
#46
#59
6
55 –
Purdue
B 6'11" — 24.9 55.0
#44
#66
3
56 ▲1
Illinois
G 6'2" — 21.5 55.2
#33
#76
5
57 ▼1
George Washington University
— — — 23.6 56.0
#47
#82
5
58 –
Houston
PG 6'4" 183 lb — 57.0
#43
#71
2
59 ▲1
Virginia Tech
— — — 23.5 57.7
#51
#66
3
60 ▼1
Iowa State
G 6'1" 200 lb 23.3 57.8
#48
#71
5
61 –
Northwestern
W 6'6" — 22.5 58.5
#46
#80
6
62 –
Utah State
— — — 23.2 59.0
#44
#74
2
63 –
Auburn
F 6'7" — 23.5 59.5
#44
#83
4
64 –
NC State
SF 6'4" 236 lb — 60.0
#59
#61
2
65 –
Purdue
B 6'9" — 24.2 60.8
#50
#83
4
66 –
Texas Tech
— — — 23.8 61.0
#32
#90
2
67 –
Indiana
G 6'4" — 24.9 62.7
#58
#69
3
68 –
Florida State University
— — — 22.4 63.0
#41
#98
3
69 ▲1
Wisconsin
G 6'3" — 25.5 67.0
#57
#77
2
70 ▼1
UCLA
F 6'9" — 22.5 67.5
#47
#94
4
71 –
Miami (Florida)
— — — 23.6 68.0
#56
#92
3
72 ▲6
St. John's
F 6'7" — 24.1 68.0
#52
#91
4
73 ▼1
University of Washington
— — — 20.3 68.3
#48
#95
3
74 ▼1
Florida State University
— — — 24.1 68.5
#59
#78
2
75 ▼1
—
— — — — 68.7
#42
#86
3
76 ▼1
Jacksonville State
— — — 24.3 69.0
#60
#82
3
77 ▼1
BYU
— — — 23.7 70.5
#60
#81
2
78 ▼1
—
— — — — 71.0
#67
#75
2
79 –
USC
F 6'10" 231 lb — 72.0
#63
#81
2
80 –
North Carolina
— — — 22.2 72.8
#53
#89
4
81 –
Southern Methodist University
— — — 23.5 79.0
#64
#94
2
82 –
Grand Canyon University
— — — 22.5 80.5
#77
#84
2
83 –
Akron
— — — — 81.0
#59
#96
3
84 –
Syracuse
B 6'9" — — 84.3
#58
#98
3
85 –
University of Southern California
— — — 23.7 84.5
#69
#100
2
86 –
University of Utah
— — — 22.0 89.5
#80
#99
2

Viewing Prospects & Concepts . Each dot is a prospect — below the dashed line means this source ranks them higher than consensus, above means lower, on the line means they agree. Hover a dot for the pick. ● fuchsia = biggest disagreements.

Source analytics

deviation from consensus — how contrarian is each board?
Source Alignment Avg dev Spread Biggest outlier
Prospects & Concepts 97 8.5 Lajae Jones -30
Draft Stack 92 7.8 Donovan Atwell +34
Assisted Development 97 7.7 Rafael Castro -25
Floor and Ceiling 97 6.4 Peter Suder +33
Ersin Demir 97 6.2 Bryson Tucker +25
No Ceilings 98 4.3 Seth Trimble +27
Dizzle Dynasty 98 3.7 Seth Trimble +20
Contrarian percentile — where each source sits in the field
most aligned most contrarian
Source breakdown — top prospects each cell is a source's rank · above consensus · below · click a rank to open that board

Biggest Movers

Risers
Fallers

Most Controversial

Widest spread of source ranks

Source Spotlight

Deepest Board
AD
Assisted Development Ranks 100 prospects
◀ 42 fades 28 reaches ▶
Deepest pick William Kyle III #98
Read Assisted Development's full board
Ahead of the Curve
DS
Draft Stack The field is catching up
◀ 19 fades 28 reaches ▶
Called early Bryce Hopkins had #52 · consensus #72 ↑
Read Draft Stack's full board

2026 Factual Draft Record

Source date: Unknown

COMPLETE coverage

60 verified selections of 60 expected from the source. 2 player identities are not yet linked to a public profile. 19 team identities are unresolved; the source label is shown.

Round 1

Selection Player Team School / origin Age
No. 1Round 1, pick 1 Washington Wizards Brigham Young 19.4
No. 2Round 1, pick 2 Utah Jazz Kansas 19.4
No. 3Round 1, pick 3 Memphis Grizzlies Duke 18.9
No. 4Round 1, pick 4 Chicago Bulls North Carolina 19.9
No. 5Round 1, pick 5 LA Clippers Illinois 19.4
No. 6Round 1, pick 6 Brooklyn Nets Louisville 20.2
No. 7Round 1, pick 7 Sacramento Kings Arkansas 19.6
No. 8Round 1, pick 8 Atlanta Hawks Houston 19.5
No. 9Round 1, pick 9 Dallas Mavericks Michigan 20.4
No. 10Round 1, pick 10 Milwaukee Bucks Arizona 20.8
No. 11Round 1, pick 11 Golden State Warriors Michigan —
No. 12Round 1, pick 12 Oklahoma City Thunder Michigan 21.2
No. 13Round 1, pick 13 Miami Heat Tennessee 19.5
No. 14Round 1, pick 14 Charlotte Hornets Washington 20.1
No. 15Round 1, pick 15 Chicago Bulls Texas 20.9
No. 16Round 1, pick 16
B Bennett Stirtz
Memphis Grizzlies Iowa 22.7
No. 17Round 1, pick 17
E Ebuka Okorie
Oklahoma City Thunder Stanford 19.2
No. 18Round 1, pick 18 Charlotte Hornets Texas Tech 20.2
No. 19Round 1, pick 19
A Allen Graves
Toronto Raptors Santa Clara 20.5
No. 20Round 1, pick 20 San Antonio Spurs Kentucky 19.0
No. 21Round 1, pick 21
K Karim Lopez
Detroit Pistons Breakers (New Zealand) —
No. 22Round 1, pick 22 Philadelphia 76ers Alabama —
No. 23Round 1, pick 23 Atlanta Hawks St. John's (NY) 22.2
No. 24Round 1, pick 24 New York Knicks Baylor 21.6
No. 25Round 1, pick 25
S Sergio de Larrea
Los Angeles Lakers Valencia BC (Spain) 20.6
No. 26Round 1, pick 26 Denver Nuggets Connecticut 22.9
No. 27Round 1, pick 27 Boston Celtics Houston 19.4
No. 28Round 1, pick 28 Minnesota Timberwolves Iowa State 22.6
No. 29Round 1, pick 29 Cleveland Cavaliers Houston —
No. 30Round 1, pick 30 Dallas Mavericks Arizona 19.4

Round 2

Selection Player Team School / origin Age
No. 31Round 2, pick 1 New York Knicks Ohio State 22.8
No. 32Round 2, pick 2
R Richie Saunders
Memphis Grizzlies Brigham Young —
No. 33Round 2, pick 3 Brooklyn Nets Duke 20.5
No. 34Round 2, pick 4 Sacramento Kings Arkansas 19.9
No. 35Round 2, pick 5 San Antonio Spurs Arkansas 23.5
No. 36Round 2, pick 6
B Baba Miller
LA Clippers Cincinnati 22.4
No. 37Round 2, pick 7 Oklahoma City Thunder Louisville 22.0
No. 38Round 2, pick 8 Chicago Bulls Purdue 22.9
No. 39Round 2, pick 9 Houston Rockets Alba Berlin (Germany) —
No. 40Round 2, pick 10 Boston Celtics St. John's (NY) —
No. 41Round 2, pick 11 Miami Heat Kentucky —
No. 42Round 2, pick 12
J Ja'Kobi Gillespie
San Antonio Spurs Tennessee 22.3
No. 43Round 2, pick 13
T Tyler Bilodeau
Brooklyn Nets California-Los Angeles 22.2
No. 44Round 2, pick 14
M Maliq Brown
San Antonio Spurs Duke 22.6
No. 45Round 2, pick 15
E Emanuel Sharp
Sacramento Kings Houston 22.3
No. 46Round 2, pick 16 Orlando Magic Tennessee —
No. 47Round 2, pick 17
T Tyler Nickel
Phoenix Suns Vanderbilt 22.8
No. 48Round 2, pick 18
T Tobi Lawal
Dallas Mavericks Virginia Tech 23.1
No. 49Round 2, pick 19
B Bryce Hopkins
Denver Nuggets St. John's (NY) 23.8
No. 50Round 2, pick 20 Toronto Raptors Arizona 22.8
No. 51Round 2, pick 21
I Izaiyah Nelson
Washington Wizards South Florida 22.7
No. 52Round 2, pick 22 LA Clippers North Carolina 22.2
No. 53Round 2, pick 23
U Ugonna Onyenso
Houston Rockets Virginia 21.7
No. 54Round 2, pick 24
L Lajae Jones
Golden State Warriors Florida State 22.1
No. 55Round 2, pick 25
N Nick Martinelli
New York Knicks Northwestern 22.2
No. 56Round 2, pick 26
V Vsevolod Ishchenko
Chicago Bulls Lokomotiv Kuban (Russia) 21.4
No. 57Round 2, pick 27
N Narcisse Ngoy
Atlanta Hawks Poitiers Basket 86 (France) —
No. 58Round 2, pick 28
J Jaron Pierre Jr.
New Orleans Pelicans Southern Methodist 24.0
No. 59Round 2, pick 29
T Trey Kaufman-Renn
Minnesota Timberwolves Purdue 23.8
No. 60Round 2, pick 30
M Malique Lewis
Washington Wizards South East Melbourne Magic (Australia) 21.6

2026 NBA Draft · Recap

Board vs. Reality

Biggest Riser

Tyler Bilodeau

expected #70 · drafted #43 by TBD

↑ 27 spots ahead of consensus

Biggest Faller

Henri Veesaar

expected #30 · drafted #52 by TBD

↓ 22 spots past consensus

Went to chalk

49/ 56

picks landed within their consensus range — 88% of the board

Ranked vs. Drafted

Every prospect: where the consensus ranked him against where he actually went. On the line, the field nailed it; above it he rose, below it he fell. Hover any face for the details.

11202040406060Consensus rank →Actual pick →Caleb Wilson — expected #4, drafted #4Keaton Wagler — expected #5, drafted #5Mikel Brown Jr. — expected #6, drafted #6Ryan Conwell — expected #37, drafted #37AJ Dybantsa — expected #2, drafted #1Darryn Peterson — expected #3, drafted #2Cameron Boozer — expected #1, drafted #3Darius Acuff Jr. — expected #11, drafted #7Kingston Flemings — expected #7, drafted #8Morez Johnson Jr. — expected #12, drafted #9Brayden Burries — expected #9, drafted #10Yaxel Lendeborg — expected #10, drafted #11Aday Mara — expected #8, drafted #12Nate Ament — expected #22, drafted #13Hannes Steinbach — expected #18, drafted #14Dailyn Swain — expected #19, drafted #15Bennett Stirtz — expected #14, drafted #16Ebuka Okorie — expected #13, drafted #17Christian Anderson — expected #20, drafted #18Allen Graves — expected #21, drafted #19Jayden Quaintance — expected #17, drafted #20Karim Lopez — expected #23, drafted #21Labaron Philon — expected #16, drafted #22Zuby Ejiofor — expected #25, drafted #23Cameron Carr — expected #15, drafted #24Sergio de Larrea — expected #32, drafted #25Tarris Reed Jr. — expected #24, drafted #26Chris Cenac Jr. — expected #29, drafted #27Joshua Jefferson — expected #26, drafted #28Alex Karaban — expected #35, drafted #29Koa Peat — expected #28, drafted #30Bruce Thornton — expected #34, drafted #31Isaiah Evans — expected #31, drafted #33Meleek Thomas — expected #27, drafted #34Trevon Brazile — expected #36, drafted #35Baba Miller — expected #38, drafted #36Braden Smith — expected #48, drafted #38Jack Kayil — expected #45, drafted #39JDillon Mitchell — expected #41, drafted #40Otega Oweh — expected #44, drafted #41Ja'Kobi Gillespie — expected #51, drafted #42Tyler Bilodeau — expected #70, drafted #43Maliq Brown — expected #53, drafted #44Emanuel Sharp — expected #46, drafted #45Felix Okpara — expected #54, drafted #46FTyler Nickel — expected #42, drafted #47Tobi Lawal — expected #59, drafted #48Bryce Hopkins — expected #72, drafted #49Jaden Bradley — expected #43, drafted #50Izaiyah Nelson — expected #40, drafted #51Henri Veesaar — expected #30, drafted #52Ugonna Onyenso — expected #39, drafted #53Lajae Jones — expected #68, drafted #54Nick Martinelli — expected #61, drafted #55Jaron Pierre Jr. — expected #76, drafted #58Trey Kaufman-Renn — expected #65, drafted #59
  • Riser — drafted ahead of expectation
  • Faller — drafted later than expected
  • On the board — went about as expected
  • Hover a face for name, position, and expected vs. actual slot.

Pick by Pick

12 R1 — Aday Mara C · Michigan #8 range 5–13 ↓ 4
13 R1 — Nate Ament F · Tennessee #22 range 10–38 ↑ 9
16 R1 — Bennett Stirtz PG · Iowa #14 range 8–25 ↓ 2
17 R1 — Ebuka Okorie Stanford #13 range 6–23 ↓ 4
19 R1 — Allen Graves F · Santa Clara University #21 range 9–27 ↑ 2
21 R1 — Karim Lopez F #23 range 16–39 ↑ 2
23 R1 — Zuby Ejiofor F · St. John's #25 range 19–34 ↑ 2
24 R1 — Cameron Carr G · Baylor #15 range 14–26 ↓ 9
25 R1 — Sergio de Larrea G · Valencia Basket #32 range 17–48 ↑ 7
30 R1 — Koa Peat F · Arizona #28 range 18–40 ↓ 2
32 R2 — R Richie Saunders — off board
36 R2 — Baba Miller F · Cincinnati #38 range 19–41 ↑ 2
37 R2 — Ryan Conwell G · Louisville #37 range 23–42 even
38 R2 — Braden Smith G · Purdue #48 range 38–58 ↑ 10
41 R2 — Otega Oweh SG · Kentucky #44 range 33–60 ↑ 3
42 R2 — Ja'Kobi Gillespie G · Tennessee #51 range 27–73 ↑ 9
43 R2 — Tyler Bilodeau F · UCLA #70 range 47–94 ↑ 27
44 R2 — Maliq Brown B · Duke #53 range 44–62 ↑ 9
45 R2 — Emanuel Sharp G · Houston #46 range 40–60 ↑ 1
47 R2 — Tyler Nickel Vanderbilt #42 range 24–55 ↓ 5
48 R2 — Tobi Lawal Virginia Tech #59 range 51–66 ↑ 11
49 R2 — Bryce Hopkins F · St. John's #72 range 52–91 ↑ 23
51 R2 — Izaiyah Nelson South Florida #40 range 35–54 ↓ 11
53 R2 — Ugonna Onyenso Virginia #39 range 24–48 ↓ 14
54 R2 — Lajae Jones Florida State University #68 range 41–98 ↑ 14
55 R2 — Nick Martinelli W · Northwestern #61 range 46–80 ↑ 6
56 R2 — Vsevolod Ishchenko Lokomotiv Kuban (professional team) — off board
57 R2 — N Narcisse Ngoy — off board
58 R2 — Jaron Pierre Jr. Jacksonville State #76 range 60–82 ↑ 18
59 R2 — Trey Kaufman-Renn B · Purdue #65 range 50–83 ↑ 6
60 R2 — Malique Lewis Did not play college basketball; played professionally in the NBA G League and Australian NBL. — off board

Risers

Drafted furthest ahead of their consensus rank.

1 Tyler Bilodeau expected #70 (47–94) → pick #43 ↑ 27
2 Bryce Hopkins expected #72 (52–91) → pick #49 ↑ 23
3 Jaron Pierre Jr. expected #76 (60–82) → pick #58 ↑ 18
4 Lajae Jones expected #68 (41–98) → pick #54 ↑ 14
5 Tobi Lawal expected #59 (51–66) → pick #48 ↑ 11
7 Nate Ament expected #22 (10–38) → pick #13 ↑ 9
8 Ja'Kobi Gillespie expected #51 (27–73) → pick #42 ↑ 9
9 Maliq Brown expected #53 (44–62) → pick #44 ↑ 9
10 F Felix Okpara expected #54 (46–59) → pick #46 ↑ 8

Fallers

Drafted furthest past their consensus rank.

2 Ugonna Onyenso expected #39 (24–48) → pick #53 ↓ 14
3 Izaiyah Nelson expected #40 (35–54) → pick #51 ↓ 11
8 Tyler Nickel expected #42 (24–55) → pick #47 ↓ 5
9 Aday Mara expected #8 (5–13) → pick #12 ↓ 4
10 Ebuka Okorie expected #13 (6–23) → pick #17 ↓ 4

How Predictable Was Each Tier?

Share of picks in each range that landed within their consensus range. The top is chalk; the field spreads out as the draft goes on.

Top 5picks 1–5 100%
Lotterypicks 6–14 89%
Mid 1stpicks 15–30 100%
2nd roundpicks 31–60 77%

Which Boards Read the Room?

Each board scored on how closely its order matched the real thing (order-match, 0–100; 50 = no better than chance).

🎯

Closest board of 2026

No Ceilings

38 of 52 picks within five slots

97 order match
◆ DraftGuru Consensus benchmark 97

Blending every board scored 97 — ahead of 6 of 7 individual analyst boards.

Individual boards

1 No Ceilings Board 97
2 Ersin Demir Mock #1 ✓ 96
3 Dizzle Dynasty Board 96
4 Assisted Development Board 96
5 Floor and Ceiling Board #1 ✓ 94
6 Prospects & Concepts Board 93
7 Draft Stack Board 90

Order-match = rank correlation between a board's order and the actual draft order, scaled 0–100. Boards sharing fewer than five drafted players are omitted; the consensus is shown as a benchmark, not ranked against analysts.

Measured against the pre-draft consensus blend. Round 1 tonight, Round 2 tomorrow. See the consensus board →